Which of the clinical trials for the COVID-19 monoclonal antibody treatments (bamlanivimab, casirvimab/imdevimab) had better prediction values and patient outcomes?

Comment by InpharmD Researcher

Bamlanivimab has published results from a phase 2 trial, while casirvimab/imdevimab has no clinical data published in humans. Their clinical trials are still ongoing, and not all outcomes are available. Comparative efficacy cannot be established.

Background

On November 9, 2020, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) issued an emergency use authorization (EUA) to Eli Lilly for bamlanivimab (LY-CoV555), an investigational monoclonal antibody therapy, for the treatment of mild to moderate COVID-19 in adult and pediatric patients 12 years or older weighing at least 40 kg and who are at high risk for progressing to severe COVID-19 and/or hospitalization. Monoclonal antibodies could potentially be associated with worsening outcomes when used in hospitalized patients with severe COVID-19, therefore bamlanivimab is not authorized for use in patients that have already been hospitalized or require oxygen therapy due to COVID-19. Bamlanivimab must be administered as a single dose intravenously by trained healthcare providers. [1], [2]

Prior to the FDA issuance of EUA, Eli Lilly company has conducted a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase II study, BLAZE-1, to evaluate the efficacy and safety of bamlanivimab alone or in combination with a second antibody for the treatment of outpatient COVID-19. Included patients were not hospitalized, had symptoms of mild or moderate COVID-19, and confirmed positive for SARS-CoV-2 within 3 days. Patients were to be given bamlanivimab 700 mg, 2,800 mg, 7,000 mg, or placebo. The primary outcome of this study is the change from baseline to day 11 in the SARS-CoV-2 viral load. The data from this interim analysis has been published with promising results [Table 1]. A phase III study, BLAZE-2, is also ongoing with the hope of using bamlanivimab as prevention of COVID-19 in long-term care facilities. [3], [4]

A phase III randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial (BLAZE-2) is currently being conducted with 2,400 enrolled participants. This study is looking to evaluate whether bamlanivimab can prevent SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 in residents and staff in skilled nursing or assisted living facilities. Inclusion criteria includes resident or staff in skilled nursing or assisted living facilities with at least one confirmed case of direct SARS-CoV-2 detection ≤7 days and men or non-pregnant women. Exclusion criteria include a history of confirmed COVID-19 and previously treated with monoclonal antibodies or received an investigational vaccine. Participants are randomized to receive either bamlanivimab IV or placebo. The primary outcome is the percentage of participants with SARS-CoV-2 infection. The primary outcome is estimated to complete by March 8, 2021, with the overall study estimated to be completed by June 29, 2021. [5]

On November 21, the FDA granted an emergency use authorization (EUA) to antibody cocktail casirivimab and imdevimab based on the positive phase 2 data announced by Regeneron in September and October press release. Preliminary data from the phase 1/2/3 trial of REGN-COV2 reported data on the first 275 patients included. The trial included non-hospitalized (outpatient) adults with COVID-19. Symptoms must have been onset less than 7 days from randomization. Participants were then randomized to a lower dose (2.4 g) casirvimab/imdevimab antibody cocktail, higher dose (8 g) casirvimab/imdevimab antibody cocktail, or placebo. The clinical endpoints were time to symptom alleviation and the proportion of patients with medically-attended visits through 29 days; the virologic endpoint was the change from baseline viral load from day 1 to day 7. [6], [7], [8]

Participants were stratified based on their antibody status at baseline. Patients showed a 0.51 log10 copies/mL greater reduction in nasopharyngeal viral load with the higher dose (P=0.0049) from baseline and 0.23 log10 copies/mL greater reduction with the lower dose (P=0.20) compared to placebo by day 7. The viral load reduction was greater in patients who were seronegative at baseline. Additionally, patients with higher baseline levels correlated with greater viral load reductions by day 7. The time to symptom alleviation was 6 days in the low dose group, 8 days in the high dose group, and 9 days with placebo. In patients who were seronegative at baseline, the time to symptom alleviation was 6 days in the low dose group (P=0.09), 8 days in the high dose group (P=0.22), compared to 13 days with placebo. [7]

An additional press release revealed data from 524 additional patients who received casirvimab/imdevimab (N=799). The overall primary endpoint of reduced COVID-19 related medical visits by day 29 was significantly lower with casirvimab/imdevimab (2.8% combined dose groups; 6.5% placebo; P=0.024). Treatment with casirvimab/imdevimab reduced COVID-19 related medical visits by 72% in patients with one or more risk factor (including being over 50 years of age; body mass index greater than 30; cardiovascular, metabolic, lung, liver or kidney disease; or immunocompromised status) (combined dose groups; nominal P=0.0065). [8]

Clinical trials of casirvimab/imdevimab aim to study safety (proportion of patients with serious adverse events) and clinical status of patients on a 7-point ordinal scale (from "death" to 'not hospitalized"). Another clinical trial is assessing the prophylactic use of casirvimab/imdevimab with a primary endpoint of positive SARS-CoV-2 tests up to 1 month after receiving the study drug. [9], [10]

References:

[1] Food and Drug Administration. Bamlanivimab Emergency Use Authorization. https://www.fda.gov/media/143602/download. Published November 10, 2020. Accessed November 25, 2020.
[2] Food and Drug Administration. FACT SHEET FOR HEALTH CARE PROVIDERS EMERGENCY USE AUTHORIZATION (EUA) OF BAMLANIVIMAB https://www.fda.gov/media/143603/download. Published November 10, 2020. Accessed November 25, 2020.
[3] Lilly. Lilly’s neutralizing antibody bamlanivimab (LY-CoV555) receives FDA emergency use authorization for the treatment of recently diagnosed COVID-19. https://investor.lilly.com/news-releases/news-release-details/lillys-neutralizing-antibody-bamlanivimab-ly-cov555-receives-fda. Updated November 9, 2020. Accessed November 25, 2020.
[4] Chen P, Nirula A, Heller B, et al. SARS-CoV-2 Neutralizing Antibody LY-CoV555 in Outpatients with Covid-19 [published online ahead of print, 2020 Oct 28]. N Engl J Med. 2020;10.1056/NEJMoa2029849. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa2029849
[5] Clinicaltrials.gov. A Study of LY3819253 (LY-CoV555) in Preventing SARS-CoV-2 Infection and COVID-19 in Nursing Home Residents and Staff (BLAZE-2). https://www.clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04497987. Updated November 10, 2020. Accessed November 10, 2020.
[6] Food and Drug Administration. Casirivimab and Imdevimab Emergency Use Authorization (EUA). https://www.fda.gov/media/143891/download. Published November 21, 2020. Accessed November 25, 2020.
[7] Regeneron. REGN-COV2 ANTIBODY COCKTAIL PROGRAM UPDATE. https://investor.regeneron.com/static-files/a596a85e-e72d-4529-8eb5-d52d87a99070. September 29, 2020. Accessed October 15, 2020.
[8] Regeneron. Regeneron’s COVID-19 outpatient trial prospectively demonstrates that REGN-COV2 antibody cocktail significantly reduced viral levels and need for further medical attention. Available: https://investor.regeneron.com/news-releases/news-release-details/regenerons-covid-19-outpatient-trial-prospectively-demonstrates. Published October 28, 2020. Accessed November 23, 2020.
[9] ClinicalTrials.gov. Study assessing the efficacy and safety of anti-spike SARS CoV-2 monoclonal antibodies for prevention of SARS CoV-2 infection asymptomatic in healthy adults and adolescents who are household contacts to an individual with a positive SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR assay. Available: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/study/NCT04452318. Updated November 10, 2020. Accessed November 23, 2020.
[10] ClinicalTrials.gov. Safety, tolerability, and efficacy of anti-spike (S) SARS-CoV-2 monoclonal antibodies for hospitalized adult patients with COVID-19. Available: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04426695. Updated November 10, 2020. Accessed November 23, 2020.

Literature Review

A search of the published medical literature revealed 1 study investigating the researchable question:

Which of the clinical trials for the COVID-19 monoclonal antibody treatments (bamlanivimab, casirvimab/imdevimab) had better prediction values and patient outcomes?

Please see Table 1 for your response.


 

SARS-CoV-2 Neutralizing Antibody LY-CoV555 in Outpatients with Covid-19

Design

Interim-analysis of a prospective, randomized, phase II, double-blind, placebo-controlled, single-dose study

N=452

Objective

To evaluate the efficacy and safety of LY-CoV555 (bamlanivimab) in patients with recently diagnosed mild or moderate COVID-19 in the outpatient setting

Study Groups

LY-CoV555 (n=309)

  • 700 mg (n=101)
  • 2,800 mg (n=107)
  • 7,000 mg (n=101)

Placebo (n=143)

Inclusion Criteria

≥18 years of age, not hospitalized, had  one or more mild or moderate COVID-19 symptoms (fever, cough, sore throat, malaise, headache, muscle pain, gastrointestinal symptoms, or shortness of breath with exertion), a nasopharyngeal sample for positive SARS-CoV-2 viral infection determination ≤3 days before the start of the infusion, men or non-pregnant women agreeing to use contraception

Exclusion Criteria

SpO2 ≤93%, PaO2/FiO2 <300, respiratory rate ≥30 per minute, heart rate ≥125 bpm, required mechanical ventilation or anticipated impending need for mechanical ventilation, hemodynamic unstable, suspected or proven serious infection of any kind, unstable comorbidities, history of a positive SARS-CoV-2 serology test, history of positive SARS-CoV-2 test, previously received an investigational intervention for SARS-CoV-2, history of convalescent COVID-19 plasma treatment, breastfeeding

Methods

Patients were randomized to receive a single intravenous infusion of neutralizing antibody bamlanivimab in one of three doses (700 mg, 2,800 mg, or 7,000 mg) or placebo. Patients were defined to have moderate symptoms if they presented with shortness of breath OR respiratory rate ≥20 breaths/min plus pulse ≥95 beats/min. All other symptomatic patients were deemed to have mild severity.

The preplanned interim analysis started after the last patient received LY-CoV555 reached day 11. Virologic features and symptoms data were collected up to day 29 of the trial. 

Duration

Interim analysis follow-up: 29 days

Trial protocol follow-up: 85 days; assessment at day 29; follow-up at day 60 and day 85

Outcome Measures

Primary: Change from baseline in the SARS-CoV-2 viral load at day 11 (±4 days) after positive results on testing

Secondary: Safety, symptom severity, hospitalization, and time points for viral clearance

Baseline Characteristics

 

Bamlanivimab (n=309)

Placebo (n=143)

 

Age, years (range)

>65 years

45 (18-86)

33 (10.7%)

46 (18-77)

20 (14.0%)

 

Female

171 (55.3%) 78 (54.5%)   

Race

White

Hispanic/Latino

Black

 

269/305 (88.2%)

135/309 (43.7%)

22/305 (7.2%)

 

120/138 (87.0%)

63/143 (44.1%)

7/138 (5.1%)

 

BMI, kg/m2

≥30 to <40

≥40

29.4

112/304 (36.8%)

24/304 (7.9%) 

29.1

56/139 (40.3%)

9/139 (6.5%) 

 

Risk factors for severe Covid-19

215 (69.6%)

95 (66.4%)

 

Covid-19 status

Mild

Moderate

 

232 (75.1%)

77 (24.9%)

 

113 (79.0%)

30 (21.0%)

 

Median days since onset of symptoms

4

4

 

Mean viral load, Ct value

23.9

23.8

 

Results

Endpoint

Bamlanivimab (n=309)

Placebo (n=143)

Difference (95%CI)

Mean change from baseline in viral load at day 11

700 mg (n=101): -3.67

2,800 mg (n=107): -4.00

7,000 mg (n=101): -3.38

-3.47 

-0.20 (-0.66 to 0.25)

-0.53 (-0.98 to -0.08)

+0.09 (-0.37 to 0.55)

Mean change from baseline in viral load at day 7

700 mg (n=101): -2.82

2,800 mg (n=107): -3.01

7,000 mg (n=101): -2.85

-2.56

-0.42 (-0.89 to 0.06)

-0.64 (-1.11 to -0.17)

-0.42 (-0.90 to 0.06)

Mean change from baseline in viral load at day 3

700 mg (n=101): -1.27

2,800 mg (n=107): -1.50

7,000 mg (n=101): -1.27

-0.85 

-0.25 (-0.73 to 0.23)

-0.45 (-0.92 to 0.03)

-0.28 (-0.77 to 0.20)

Hospitalization related to COVID-19 by day 29

5 (1.6%)

700 mg (n=101): 1 (1.0%)

2,800 mg (n=107): 2 (2.0%)

7,000 mg (n=101): 2 (2.0%)

9 (6.3%) ---

Patients with a higher viral load on day 7 had a higher rate of hospitalization than those with a better clearance of viral RNA on day 7, a finding that is consistent with previous studies suggesting that delayed viral clearance is associated with more severe disease.

Adverse Events

Common Adverse Events: Nausea (3.9%), diarrhea (3.2%), dizziness (3.2%), headache (1.6%), pruritus (1.6%), vomiting (1.6%), chills (1.3%), pyrexia (1.3%), chest discomfort (1.0%), fatigue (1.0%), hypertension (1.0%), lipase increased (1.0%), thrombocytosis (1.0%)

Serious Adverse Events: 0%

Percentage that Discontinued due to Adverse Events: 0%

Study Author Conclusions

The safety profile of patients who received bamlanivimab was similar to that of placebo-treated patients. Although the differences in the effects of the three doses of bamlanivimab were not clear, the 2,800 mg dose was the only one to show evidence of accelerated viral clearance. Patients receiving bamlanivimab also had fewer hospitalizations and a lower symptom burden than those who received placebo, with the most pronounced effects observed in high-risk cohorts. 

InpharmD Researcher Critique

Strengths of this study include the placebo-controlled and double-blinded design. Limitations include the fact that this is an interim analysis and the primary outcome is a surrogate endpoint; however, the key secondary endpoint of hospitalization favorably associated with the lower viral load. Additionally, viral samples were nasopharyngeal instead of bronchial; however, it can be argued that nasopharyngeal swabs may be appropriate in these patients.

The study only found a lower viral load with bamlanivimab than placebo at the 2800 mg dose with 11 days. This does not appear to be clinically meaningful, since viral load became substantially reduced from baseline in the majority of patients including placebo by day 11. Earlier treatment time points showed no substantial differences among the 3 doses. However, the study did find the drug to be safe with fewer hospitalizations and lower symptom burden than placebo which could be beneficial for emergency use in high-risk patients with COVID-19.



References:

Chen P, Nirula A, Heller B, et al. SARS-CoV-2 Neutralizing Antibody LY-CoV555 in Outpatients with Covid-19 [published online ahead of print, 2020 Oct 28]. N Engl J Med. 2020;10.1056/NEJMoa2029849. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa2029849