Antiherpetic drugs: a potential way to prevent Alzheimer’s disease?
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Design
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Retrospective observational cohort study
N= 68,291
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Objective
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To explore whether the protective effect of systemic antiherpetic drugs (AHDs) on the onset of dementia was replicable using a French large medico-administrative database
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Study Groups
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No systemic AHD (n= 61,649)
Systemic AHD (n= 6,642)
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Inclusion Criteria
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Aged ≥ 65 years; in the Echantillon Généraliste des Bénéficiaires (EGB)
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Exclusion Criteria
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Aged < 65 years; not present in the database on January 1, 2007; dementia identified before or on January 1, 2009
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Methods
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Data was extracted from the EGB, which is a random sample of affiliates to the French Health Insurance System containing information relating to (1) sociodemographic data; (2) “long-term diseases” (LTDs), a group of chronic diseases for which all medical expenses are fully reimbursed; (3) outpatient healthcare expenditures reimbursements; (4) outpatient drug reimbursements; (5) hospitalizations with the primary, related, and associate diagnoses coded; and (6) dates of death.
Subjects were defined as having dementia, Alzheimer's dementia, or vascular dementia if at least one of the following criteria was present: (1) hospitalization in medical or surgical wards with diagnoses linked to dementia; (2) a declaration of an LTD related to dementia; (3) anti-dementia drugs (i.e., anti-cholinesterase drugs, memantine, or their association) which were considered only for the identification of dementia.
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Duration
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Followed until exit from primary health care insurance system, dementia onset, death, or December 31, 2017, whichever came first
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Outcome Measures
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Incident cases of dementia, association between the intake of at least one AHD and onset of dementia
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Baseline Characteristics
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No systemic AHD (n= 61,649)
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Systemic AHD (n= 6,642)
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Age, years
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76 ± 8 |
74 ± 6 |
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Male
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42.13% |
34.79% |
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Among subjects who have taken systemic AHDs, 88.5% received at least one dose of valacyclovir and 16.6% received at least one dose of acyclovir. Patients who have taken systemic AHDs were more likely to be younger, women, have concomitant lipid-lowering and anti-inflammatory drugs, and have a higher number of different treatment regimens and medical consultations.
Of patients who were hospitalized, 151 (0.22%) had a hospitalization related to HSV infection, 16 (0.02%) to cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection, and 244 (0.36%) to varicella zoster virus (VZV) infection.
A total of 8,883 patients were identified as having incident dementia during follow-up, of which were 5,366 AD diagnoses. The incidence rate of AD was 11.0 cases per 1,000 person-years, with a mean age of 84 ± 6 years at diagnosis of dementia.
Among 509 patients who were treated with systemic AHDs and subsequently diagnosed with dementia, the time interval between first treatment and occurrence of dementia was 2.9 years (IQR 1.2-4.8).
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Results
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Endpoint
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Events
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Adjusted hazard ratio* (95% CI)
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p-value
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Association between intake of at least one systemic AHD and incidence of dementia in all subjects (n= 68,291)
All dementias
Alzheimer's dementia
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8,883
5,366
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0.90 (0.82-0.99)
0.85 (0.75-0.96)
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0.03
0.009
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Association after exclusion of immunocompromised subjects, subjects with cancer or with a hospitalization related to herpesviruses (n= 52,254)
All dementias
Alzheimer's dementia
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7044
4260
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0.84 (0.75-0.94)
0.82 (0.71-0.95)
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0.002
0.007
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Association after carrying out a lag-time of 1 year (n= 68,291)
All dementias
Alzheimer's dementia
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8,883
5,366
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0.86 (0.78–0.95)
0.78 (0.68–0.90)
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0.004
0.001
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Association after exclusion of participants with ≥ 2 deliveries of systemic AHDs per year of follow-up (n= 67,904)
All dementias
Alzheimer's dementia
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8,856
5,351
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0.91 (0.83-0.997)
0.85 (0.75-0.97)
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0.04
0.01
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Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; IQR, interquartile range
* Adjustment for age at inclusion, sex, being beneficiary of a complementary health insurance for low-income people at inclusion, hypertension, diabetes, hypercholesterolemia, heart disease, stroke, intake of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, systemic, or inhaled glucocorticoids the year before inclusion, number of different medications the year before inclusion, number of outpatient medical consultations the year before inclusion
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Adverse Events
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Not disclosed
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Study Author Conclusions
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Taking at least one systemic AHD during follow-up was significantly associated with a 15% reduced risk of developing AD, even after taking into account several potential methodological biases. Nevertheless, the low frequency of subjects with a regular intake questions the biological plausibility of this association and highlights the limits of epidemiological data to evaluate a potential protective effect of a regular treatment by systemic AHDs on the incidence of dementia.
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InpharmD Researcher Critique
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Few patients included in analysis were using AHDs regularly, and thus the effect of regular treatment on the incidence of dementia cannot be ascertained. The use of data from a national claims database may bias the results due to potential missing information, misclassification, and inaccuracies. Additionally, as the study was conducted outside of the US, results may not be extrapolatable to a domestic patient population.
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